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今天，我们复习指令：
Write a response in which you discuss what questions would need to be answered in order to decide whether the recommendation is likely to have the predicted result. Be sure to explain how the answers to these questions would help to evaluate the recommendation.
我们来看文本：
“On Balmer Island, where mopeds serve as a popular form of transportation, the population increases to 100,000 during the summer months. To reduce the number of accidents involving mopeds and pedestrians, the town council of Balmer Island should limit the number of mopeds rented by the island’s moped rental companies from 50 per day to 25 per day during the summer season. By limiting the number of rentals, the town council will attain the 50 percent annual reduction in moped accidents that was achieved last year on the neighboring island of Seaville, when Seaville’s town council enforced similar limits on moped rentals.”
今天的玄机和要点是：逻辑点和逻辑点之间的联系
看下面三个分析：
The immediate question is whether the lower limit on the number of mopeds that would be allowed for renting would reduce mopeds running on the island. In fact, the expected reduction may not happen. It is likely that the maximum daily demand for mopeds is 25 or smaller, and in this case, the proposed lower limit would not work.
个问题问完，我们看接下来这个问题，怎么承接现在这一问。
A question that follows is about to what mopeds the accidents happens. Since mopeds serve as a popular form of transportation on the island, there must be mopeds that are not for visitors’ rental but belong to the island’s local residents. What if it is the locals’ personal mopeds that has caused a substantial portion of the accidents? In this case, limiting the number of rentals does not effectively help reduce accidents.
大家有没有品出这两问之间的联系?第二问建立在问的基础上。也就是说：我们首先考虑用与租赁的mopeds。然后，在确定了租赁的mopeds的情况的基础上，扩大反问，考虑租赁之外的一部分mopeds(即私人拥有的mopeds)。
于是，我们在问和第二问的基础上继续发问。第三问：
At this point, there is a further question. Does the total number of mopeds running on the island affect the number of accidents? The answer may be negative, since those accidents happen for multiple reasons, not limited to the total number of mopeds. For example, poor road conditions, such as rough surface of roads, and poor visibility at intersections can also lead to accidents although the number of mopeds is reasonable.
大家有没有发现这第三问是在逻辑上基于问和第二问的?也就是说：我们在确定了用与租赁的mopeds以及私人拥有的mopeds(也就是所有的mopeds)之后，进一步考虑mopeds与accidents之间的关系。
至此，大家是不是明白了如何梳理逻辑点与逻辑点之间的联系，以及我们如何在写作时写出更有逻辑层次的分析。这样的层次写法，大家可以去参照我们的GRE写作第【27】讲，一样的道理。
最后，给一个福利，问的更刁钻的问法如下：
The immediate question is about the maximum daily demand for mopeds. If the maximum is 25 or smaller, the proposed lower limit on the number of mopeds that would be allowed for renting would not reduce mopeds running on the island.